THE KARABAKH CONFLICT
Variants of settlement:
Concepts and reality

Third edition
revised and updated

The foreword and comments are by Ambassador Extraordinary and Plenipotentiary of the Russian Federation V. N. Kazimirov

Baku-Yerevan
2006

This book, written jointly by an Armenian and an Azeri researcher, presents the current visions about the causes of the Nagorno Karabakh conflict, and its impact on the parties concerned. The possible ways for a solution to the conflict are described in detail as well as the “technologies” by which these solutions can be achieved. The Appendix contains the texts of official international documents on the Nagorno Karabakh problem adopted since 1991.

Sponsored by: Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung South-Caucasus Co-ordination office

©Ali Abasov, Haroutiun Khachatrian, 2005

©V. N. Kazimirov. Foreword and notes, 2004

©Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung

Published by: AREAT, NOYAN TAPAN  2005

CONTENTS

The whole issue in .pdf

Authors’ foreword to the third edition

Foreword by Ambassador Vladimir Kazimirov to the second edition

From the authors.

I. INTRODUCTION. THE LEVELS OF THE KARABAKH CONFLICT: FROM LOCAL TO GLOBAL SCALE

1. The ethnic level of the conflict
2. The regional level of the conflict
3. The Soviet and post-Soviet level of the conflict
4. The international aspects of the conflict

II. ANALYSIS OF POSSIBLE VARIANTS OF POLITICAL SOLUTION TO THE KARABAKH CONFLICT

1. The international-legal aspects of the problem
2. The possible schemes of principle for solution to the problem

1. The position of Azerbaijan
2. The position of the Azeris of Nagorno Karabakh
3. The position of the authorities of Nagorno Karabakh
4. Nagorno Karabakh as part of Armenia
5. More than autonomy but not a state
6. Exchange of territories
7. Associated state
8. The Cyprus model
9. The “Chechen variant” and the “Prague Process”
10. “Common State”
11. “Transcaucasian Confederation”
12. “The Paris principles”
13.  The principle of condominium (or the “Andorra variant”)

III. METHODS (“TECHNOLOGIES”) FOR THE RESOLUTION OF THE KARABAKH CONFLICT

1. Military solution
2. “Package” solution
3. Stage-by-stage solution
4. “Backup plan”
5. Integration approaches
6. External coercion, or the “Dayton schemes”
7.“The Dartmouth Variant”

IV. THE CONFLICT AND THE SOCIAL-POLITICAL ATMOSPHERE IN THE TWO COUNTRIES

1. Armenia
2. Nagorno Karabakh
3. Azerbaijan
4. Grassroots Diplomacy

V. CONCLUSION

DEDUCTIONS

AFTERWORDS

APPENDICES